HYDROLOGICAL SITUATION AND FORECAST AS OF 15 JULY 2004

According to Bulletin No. 47DB/TVBBO and Bulletin No.37DB/TVTNBO, issued by the Vietnam Hydro-meteorological Service in Hanoi at 14:00, 15 July 2004

1. Flood Damage Potential:
LOW IN THE NORTHERN, CENTRAL, AND SOUTHERN RIVER SYSTEMS

2. Situation Analysis of Flood on Rivers in Vietnam:

NORTHERN RIVER SYSTEMS:

The Red River System:

The downstream flood water level on the Red river is changing slowly. At 7:00 on 16 July 2004, the flood water level on the Red River System at the Hanoi Gauging Station (Hanoi City) was at 6.61 meter.

Forecast: By 17 July, the flood water level at Ha Noi Gauging station may be at 6.30 meter.

The Thai Binh River System:

In the Thai Binh River System, downstream flood water level is increasing. At 7:00 on 16 July 2004, the flood water level at the Pha Lai Gauging Station (Hai Duong Province) was at 2.70 meters (0.80 meters lower than Alarm Level I = 3.50 meters).

Forecast: The downstream flood water level of the Thai Binh River System may is changing slowly.

CENTRAL RIVER SYSTEMS:

The flood water levels on rivers in provinces of Thanh Hoa, and Ha Tinh are changing slowly while those on rivers in Nghe An, Binh Thuan and in the Central Highlands are fluctuating slowly. At 07:00 on July 15, 2004, the flood water level on Ma River (Giang Gauging Station-Thanh Hoa Province): -0.33 meter (much lower than Alarm Level I = 3.50 meters), on Ca River (Nam Dan Gauging Station-Nghe An province): 2.47m (much lower than Alarm Level I = 5.40 meters), On La River (Linh Cam Gauging station-Ha Tinh Province): -0.39 meter (much lower than Alarm Level I = 4.00 meters) on La Nga River (Ta Pao Gauging Station-Binh Thuan Province): 118.03meter (0.97 meter lower than Alarm Level I = 119 meter), on Srepok River (Ban Don Gauging Station-Dak Lak Province): 168.85 meter ( 0.75meter lower than Alarm Level I = 169.60 meter), on Ca Ty river (Muong Man Gauging Station-Binh Thuan Province): 1.69 meter (much lower than Alarm Level I = 4 meter).

SOUTHERN RIVER SYSTEMS: 

In the Mekong River, upstream flood water level is changing slowly. On July 14, 2004, the highest flood water level in the Tien River at Tan Chau Gauging Station was at 1.31 meter, on the Hau River at Chau Doc Gauging Station was at 1.04m.

3. Next information: 
The next information from the Standing Office of the Central Committee for Flood and Storm Control is expected at 15:00, Saturday, July 17, 2004.

4. More in-depth information: URL: http://www.undp.org.vn/dmu/index.html

5. Times: All times are given in Vietnamese Standard Time (GMT+7).

Translated by Nguyen Thi Kim Ngan (DMU); Edited by M. Silver (STA)